macroafricaintel Daily Brief | 12 Feb

By Rafiq Raji, PhD
Twitter: @DrRafiqRaji, @macroafrica

Global Markets

  • Stocks inch higher as new coronavirus cases fall
  • Equities cautiously higher in Asia
  • Investors trying to measure spread of coronavirus
  • Oil prices extend rebound from 13-mth lows

Oil Markets

  • Oil prices rise as new virus cases slow, easing Chinese demand concerns
  • Brent up 1.3% at $54.75 a barrel (0137GMT)
  • WTI up 0.9% at $50.39

Precious metals

  • Gold flat as risk sentiment improves on slowing virus threat
  • Spot gold flat at $1,567.62/oz. (0051GMT)
  • US gold futures up 0.1% at $1,570.90/oz.


  • Wheat falls to lowest since December on USDA stockpiles forecast
  • Wheat futures down 0.3% at $5.40-1/2 a bushel (0154GMT)
  • Soybean futures up 0.1% at $8.85-1/2 a bushel
  • Corn futures down 0.1% at $3.79-1/2 a bushel

Key African events or data releases today
[Posts & comments at my Twitter handles @DrRafiqRaji, @macroafrica]

  • South Africa retail sales Dec-19 [fcst. 1.8% yy, prev. 2.6%]
  • South Africa state capture inquiry continues
  • 3rd Nigeria international petroleum summit in Abuja; 9-12 Feb

Key African events or data releases yesterday & early a.m today

  • Nigeria considers eurobond issue, president to seek approval
  • Artillery shells rain on centre of Libyan capital
  • Rhinos in Kenya face a new threat: drug-resistant bacteria – study
  • Nigerian central bank injects $210 mln into currency market
  • Algeria’s public debt rises to 45% of GDP, economy “delicate” – PM
  • South Africa’s MTN flags 2019 profit jump of up to 50%
  • Africa Oil – Trading slow despite declining freight rates
  • Sudan’s Bashir may face war crimes reckoning
  • South Africa’s rand climbs, stocks recover in global return to risk
  • Doctors in Egypt launch anti-genital cutting campaign after girl dies
  • Sudan agrees ex-president Bashir should appear before ICC over Darfur
  • South Africa’s competition watchdog approves $1.7 bln Pioneer-Pepsico merger
  • Egypt talking to IMF about technical assistance – central bank
  • Sudan ex-leader Bashir refuses to deal with ICC – lawyer
  • Total chief dismisses Tullow Oil takeover idea
  • Uganda says Chinese firm applies to build $1.4 bln power plant on the Nile
  • Morocco threatens to close down Turkish retailer amid trade talks
  • Fuel shortages put squeeze on Sudan’s transitional govt
  • Sudan & Darfur groups agree appearance of people wanted by ICC before the court – minister
  • South African union file court application over SAA job cuts
  • [Terrorist group] claims Algeria border attack
  • Egypt population reaches 100 mln people – statistics agency
  • Thousands bid farewell to Kenya’s veteran leader Moi
  • Uganda to borrow $118 mln from China to build roads key to oil production
  • Founder of South African group Ladysmith Black Mambazo dies
  • South Africa’s manufacturing output drops 5.9% y/y in December
  • Egypt’s net govt debt issues increase 12% in first half of 2019-20
  • Novak to discuss OPEC+ deal with Russian oil companies on Wednesday – TASS
  • South Africa – Harmony Gold’s rebounding profits give hunt for acquisitions fresh impetus
  • South Africa Q4 unemployment rate unchanged at 29.1%
  • Egypt’s power subsidy falls to zero in second half of 2019
  • Nigeria secures $1 mln US grant to plan for gas-fired power plant
  • Burundi central bank bans foreign exchange bureaus for flouting official rates
  • World Bank chief: some development banks worsening poor country debt burdens
  • African Union delays plan to start using fund for security operations

N.B. Full stories of above headlines are available on Reuters

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