macroafricaintel | Nigeria: GDP forecasts (2018-19)

By Rafiq Raji, PhD
Twitter: @DrRafiqRaji

Click here for PDF version

  Q1 2018F Q2 2018F Q3 2018F Q4 2018F 2018F
% qq -12.3 3.0 7.0 3.0
% yy 3.1 2.7 0.8 -0.4 1.4

Source: Macroafricaintel Research

  Q1 2019F Q2 2019F Q3 2019F Q4 2019F 2019F
% qq -10.0 3.5 6.0 3.5
% yy 2.2 2.7 1.7 2.2 2.2

Source: Macroafricaintel Research

  Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 2017
% qq -13.3 3.4 9.0 4.3
% yy -0.9 0.7 1.4 1.9 0.8

Source: NBS, Macroafricaintel Research

macroafricaintel | South Africa – Revision of forecasts

By Rafiq Raji, PhD

Click to download PDF version

South Africa Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 2017 2018 2019
GDP Quarterly % Change (saa)   1.2 0.6 2.8 -1.2 2.0 0.4 2.0      
GDP Annual % Change 0.5 0.9 1.7
CPI Quarterly % Change   5.2 5.0 5.1 3.8 3.9 4.1 3.5      
CPI Annual Average % Change 5.3 4.0 2.9
C/A Quarterly Average % Change -4.1 -4.3 -4.5 -4.6 -4.4 -4.1 -4.4 -4.2      
C/A Annual Average % Change -4.4 -4.3 -4.1
PPI Quarterly % Change yy   4.5 5.2 4.5 4.1 4.1 4.2 4.3      
PPI Annual Average % Change 4.8 4.2 4.3
Repo Rate Long Term Forecast   7.0 6.8 6.5 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0      
Repo Rate Long Term Forecast 6.5 6.0 5.0

macroafricaintel | Nigeria – Revision of forecasts

By Rafiq Raji, PhD

See PDF copy of presentation viz. macroafricaintel-nigeria-brief-nov-2016-updated

See Q4-2016 Outlook report for reference viz. https://macroafricaintelligence.files.wordpress.com/2016/09/macroafricaintel-q4-2016-outlook-nigeria.pdf

macroafricaintel-nigeria-brief-1

macroafricaintel-nigeria-brief-2

Real GDP Growth % qq % yy
Q1 2015 -11.6 4.0
Q2 2015 2.6 2.4
Q3 2015 9.2 2.8
Q4 2015 3.1 2.1
Q1 2016 -13.7 -0.4
Q2 2016 0.8 -2.1
Q3 2016 9.0 -2.2
Q4 2016F 4.0 -1.4
Q1 2017F -10.0 2.9
Q2 2017F 2.0 4.1
Real GDP Growth %
2016F -1.5
2017F 3.0
2018F 3.1